Predicting the future is a big business. Economists, financiers, demographers, pollsters and pundits are paid big money for their insights into what might happen next in their respective areas of expertise. If we can catch glimpses of the future of something as complex as the economy, why can’t we look into the future to predict our human capital needs? I started researching human capital metrics in the 1970s, when almost no businesses were really crunching the numbers on their people. Today, I am working hard to push the frontier of predictive analytics. Last year I kicked off a predictive analytics initiative, and partnered with SuccessFactors Research to find out what works.

In business, gathering and analyzing data is only a beginning. Managers want metrics that are actionable, metrics that support business decisions. They want a glimpse of their future. To answer that call, we have developed HCM: 21, a better way to collect, integrate, process, analyze and predict business results. It links external forces and internal factors, plans with it, processes it, analyzes it and predicts it within a single, integrated system much like FedEx does with small packages. The value add is compelling business intelligence about our most mission critical resource: human capital.

Most great advances in the information era have not revolved around new products. They have been about the distribution of something. Consider Avon in cosmetics, FedEx in package delivery, Amazon in books and USA Today in newspapers. In every case upon introduction adoption of the better method was condemned by naysayers. Innovation today is about efficient movement of data and products.

Just as other breakthroughs have been built on integration, HCM: 21 incorporates human capital information from many sources. But it is not about information technology in the sense of computers any more than Gutenberg was about paper and ink. Movable type launched the efficient distribution of information, which made possible widespread education and facilitated trade. HCM: 21 is the first successful method for combining mission critical, human capital data to manage risk and predict return on investments all within a single, comprehensive system.

You can find a preview of the HCM: 21 system in the whitepaper I wrote with Erik from SuccessFactors Research, Managing Tomorrow, Today. It is not a crystal ball for the future, but rather a blueprint for putting your data to work, not just to solve the problems you are facing right now, but to ready yourself for tomorrow. How integrated, actionable and relevant is your human data? Don’t get stuck looking backward and reacting, make sure your data is good enough to look forward to tomorrow.